Forecasting Impacts Of Technology Changes Using Fuzzy Logic And Approximate Reasoning
Price
Free (open access)
Transaction
Volume
20
Pages
10
Published
1996
Size
792 kb
Paper DOI
10.2495/CR960321
Copyright
WIT Press
Author(s)
A.H. Soliman, V.R. Mummidi & R.L. Sabounghi
Abstract
The present research focuses on developing a framework for modeling decision process of an expert using the concepts of fuzzy set theory, approximate reasoning and fuzzy control. A theoretical methodology is proposed which utilizes the expert opinions in qualifying the levels of service (LOS) improvement that can be obtained by the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) technologies. Concepts of fuzzy expert system are utilized for standardizing the opinions so that they can be used in technology impact forecasting. 1 Introduction Human decision making process in very complex, involving many faculties of human brain interacting with each other producing a final result. The actual process itself consists of many sub-processes evaluating uncer
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