Author(s)

I. Goulter & Suharyanto

Abstract

Successful application of fuzzy control to an optimum control problem relies on the ability to make appropriate inferences from fuzzy information. In the reservoir operation problem, the operational rule adopted for simulation of the performance of a reservoir under historical or generated inflows, demands, etc. usually relates to the concept of an optimum release for the 'current' period. The main source of uncertainty in this process arises from the prediction of the value of the inflow during the current period. The value of this inflow is generally known in terms of its distribution. Since the storage volume at the end of each period is highly dependent on this inflow, it also is influenced by this uncertainty. Most stochastic simulation techniques for reservoir operation, however, operate

Keywords