Author(s)

L. Gucma & P. Zalewski

Abstract

Safety assessment of offshore pipelines anchor damage by means of simulation method L. Gucma & P. Zalewski Maritime University of Szczecin, Poland Abstract This paper presents the simulation method of underwater pipeline safety evaluation in the aspect of emergency anchoring vessels. The simulation model is a probabilistic one based on the Monte Carlo simulation principle including a simplified human decision algorithm and mechanics of ship anchoring. The results achieved with the use of the presented model can be applied for determination of underwater pipelines safety and as guidelines for pipeline protection. The paper also presents an example case study of safety determination of sub-sea gas pipeline located on the Baltic Sea. 1 Introduction The evaluation of the safety of complex marine systems demands creation of various models which include such parameters like: ship's traffic, meteorological conditions, human reliability and other relevant navigational features. Most of these paramete

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