A Stochastic-dynamic Model To Predict Fecal Coliforms At The Mouth Of The Añasco River
Price
Free (open access)
Transaction
Volume
68
Pages
11
Published
2004
Size
961 kb
Paper DOI
10.2495/CENV040081
Copyright
WIT Press
Author(s)
N. D. Ramirez-Beltran, F. Gilbes & J.M. Castro
Abstract
This research effort attempts to predict one year ahead the concentration of fecal coliforms at the mouth of the Añasco River, located in Puerto Rico. One of the most efficient techniques to represent stochastic processes is time series modeling. These models decompose the process into three major components: trend, seasonality and stochastic components. Unfortunately, time series models require observations at equal time intervals. Since the water quality data are not given at regular intervals, an adaptive estimation technique is proposed to estimate the missing values and, therefore, to g
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