Risk Based Water Resources Management
Price
Free (open access)
Transaction
Volume
26
Pages
10
Published
1998
Size
871 kb
Paper DOI
10.2495/HY980391
Copyright
WIT Press
Author(s)
J.E. Capilla, J. Andrew, A.Solera & S.S. Quispe
Abstract
In this paper a risk based decision-making methodolgy is presented that allows to simulate the operational management of a complex Water Resources System (WRS), assessing the risks involved during its operation. The method has been implemented to include conjunctive use of surface and ground water. The assessment procedure is based on simulating the performance of the system using synthesized hydrological records which are adapted to the system state at the beginning of the period being assessed. Then, processing these equally likely simulations, the probabilities of final state or failure for each element of the WRS are computed and accounted for in accordance with the decision-maker criteria. Using this simulation methodolo
Keywords